Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.030065 0.032405 0.034853 0.037609 0.040628 0.043841 0.047522
2025-02-09 0.026067 0.029358 0.032987 0.037297 0.042297 0.047934 0.054801
2025-02-16 0.023450 0.027289 0.031690 0.037138 0.043740 0.051534 0.061503
2025-02-23 0.021432 0.025599 0.030527 0.036835 0.044761 0.054479 0.067433
2025-03-02 0.019963 0.024377 0.029740 0.036805 0.045965 0.057580 0.073644
2025-03-09 0.018526 0.023052 0.028679 0.036275 0.046398 0.059617 0.078505
2025-03-16 0.017224 0.021788 0.027576 0.035565 0.046472 0.061097 0.082625
2025-03-23 0.016236 0.020852 0.026818 0.035222 0.046963 0.063105 0.087551
2025-03-30 0.015366 0.020012 0.026121 0.034888 0.047402 0.065016 0.092419
2025-04-06 0.014464 0.019071 0.025222 0.034202 0.047268 0.066056 0.096012
2025-04-13 0.014008 0.018710 0.025089 0.034568 0.048645 0.069353 0.103254
2025-04-20 0.013464 0.018195 0.024704 0.034536 0.049410 0.071755 0.109243
2025-04-27 0.013091 0.017905 0.024629 0.034959 0.050895 0.075370 0.117518
2025-05-04 0.012517 0.017299 0.024067 0.034617 0.051174 0.077105 0.122810
2025-05-11 0.012040 0.016810 0.023646 0.034459 0.051718 0.079276 0.128990
2025-05-18 0.011565 0.016300 0.023168 0.034179 0.052038 0.081083 0.134655
2025-05-25 0.011190 0.015921 0.022865 0.034151 0.052752 0.083573 0.141722
2025-06-01 0.010723 0.015385 0.022296 0.033666 0.052674 0.084696 0.146350
2025-06-08 0.010246 0.014812 0.021647 0.033016 0.052274 0.085222 0.149875
2025-06-15 0.009880 0.014394 0.021219 0.032702 0.052423 0.086710 0.155348
2025-06-22 0.009537 0.013999 0.020810 0.032397 0.052561 0.088176 0.160882
2025-06-29 0.009141 0.013506 0.020225 0.031769 0.052094 0.088498 0.164127
2025-07-06 0.008978 0.013375 0.020213 0.032104 0.053353 0.092085 0.174355